The people of Ecuador are rising up to refound their country as a pluri-national homeland for all. This inspiring movement, with Ecuador's indigenous peoples at its heart, is part of the revolution spreading across the Americas, laying the groundwork for a new, fairer, world. Ecuador Rising aims to bring news and analysis of events unfolding in Ecuador to english speakers.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Correa Could Get Second Term in Ecuador


(Angus Reid Global Monitor) March 16, 2009 - Ecuadorian president Rafael Correa remains popular in the country’s two largest cities, according to a poll by Perfiles de Opinión. 47 per cent of respondents in Quito and Guayaquil would vote for Correa in next month’s ballot.

Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) is a distant second with 13 per cent, followed by former president Lucio Gutiérrez with 10 per cent, and Matha Roldós—the daughter of former head of state Jaime Roldós—with eight per cent.

Correa, a former finance minister, ran for president as an independent leftist under the Alliance Country (AP) banner. In November 2006, Correa defeated Noboa in a run-off with 56.69 per cent of the vote. He officially took over as Ecuador’s head of state in January. Correa’s party nominated no candidates to the National Congress.

In September 2008, Ecuadorian voters ratified a new constitution in a nationwide referendum. The draft was approved by the pro-government majority in the Constituent Assembly. Under the terms of the new constitution, Ecuador will hold a new presidential election on Apr. 19. Correa is eligible for a new term in office.

On Mar. 10, Noboa challenged the incumbent, saying, "Rafael, I will defeat you in the first round like I did in 2006".

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the presidential election?

Rafael Correa

47%

Álvaro Noboa

13%

Lucio Gutiérrez

10%

Matha Roldós

8%

Would spoil ballot

13%

Blank ballot

7%

Source: Perfiles de Opinión
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 854 Ecuadorian adults in Quito and Guayaquil, conducted on Feb. 28 and Mar. 1, 2009. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.



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