(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Ecuadorian president Rafael Correa seems ready to win a new term in office, according to a poll by Santiago Pérez Investigaciones y Estudios. 54 per cent of respondents would vote for Correa in this month’s vote, up two points since mid-March.
Former president Lucio Gutiérrez is a distant second with 12 per cent, followed by Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) with 10 per cent, and Martha Roldós—the daughter of former head of state Jaime Roldós—with six per cent.
Correa, a former finance minister, ran for president as an independent leftist under the Alliance Country (AP) banner. In November 2006, Correa defeated Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) in a run-off with 56.69 per cent of the vote. He officially took over as Ecuador’s head of state in January 2007. Correa’s party nominated no candidates to the National Congress.
In September 2008, Ecuadorian voters ratified a new constitution in a nationwide referendum. The draft was approved by the pro-government majority in the Constituent Assembly. Under the terms of the new constitution, Ecuador will hold a new presidential election on Apr. 26. Correa is eligible for a new term in office and is seeking re-election.
On Mar. 31, Correa vowed to promote job creation and protect small businesses if elected to a second term, saying, "We seek to build a homeland with equal opportunities, to set a new work model which help us get rid of paternalism and achieve social development."
Polling Data
If the presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Mar. 28 | Mar. 21 |
Rafael Correa | 54% | 52% |
Lucio Gutiérrez | 12% | 12% |
Álvaro Noboa | 10% | 11% |
Matha Roldós | 6% | 8% |
Other / Spoiled / Blank ballot | 18% | 17% |
Source: Santiago Pérez Investigaciones y Estudios
Methodology: Interviews with 1,700 Ecuadorian adults, conducted on Mar. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
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