(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Ecuadorian president Rafael Correa seems poised to earn a new term in the South American country, according to a poll by Cedatos/Gallup. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the incumbent head of state in this month’s ballot.
Former president Lucio Gutiérrez is a distant second with 15 per cent, followed by Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) with 13 per cent, and Martha Roldós—the daughter of former head of state Jaime Roldós—with seven per cent.
Correa, a former finance minister, ran for president as an independent leftist under the Alliance Country (AP) banner. In November 2006, Correa defeated Noboa in a run-off with 56.69 per cent of the vote. He officially took over as Ecuador’s head of state in January 2007. Correa’s party nominated no candidates to the National Congress.
In September 2008, Ecuadorian voters ratified a new constitution in a nationwide referendum. The draft was approved by the pro-government majority in the Constituent Assembly. Under the terms of the new constitution, Ecuador will hold a new presidential election on Apr. 26. Correa is eligible for a new term in office.
On Apr. 14, Noboa criticized Correa’s economic management, saying, "Under [Correa’s] watch, $25 billion U.S. came in due to oil revenues. And while we see one million houses with green flags [the colour of Correa’s party], those same houses have no access to running water."
Polling Data
If the presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Apr. 3 | Mar. 10 | |
| Rafael Correa | 49% | 46% |
| Lucio Gutiérrez | 15% | 11% |
| Álvaro Noboa | 13% | 14% |
| Martha Roldós | 7% | 4% |
| Other candidates | 2% | 1% |
| Spoiled / Blank ballot | 14% | 16% |
Source: Cedatos/Gallup
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,824 Ecuadorian adults, conducted from Mar. 30 to Apr. 3, 2009. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
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